Detecting near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycles in high-altitude cold regions is important for understanding the Earth’s surface system, but such studies are rare. In this study, we detected the spatial-temporal variations in near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycles in the source region of the Yellow River (SRYR) during the period 2002-2011 based on data from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E). Moreover, the trends of onset dates and durations of the soil freeze-thaw cycles under different stages were also analyzed. Results showed that the thresholds of daytime and nighttime brightness temperatures of the freeze-thaw algorithm for the SRYR were 257.59 and 261.28 K, respectively. At the spatial scale, the daily frozen surface (DFS) area and the daily surface freeze-thaw cycle surface (DFTS) area decreased by 0.08% and 0.25%, respectively, and the daily thawed surface (DTS) area increased by 0.36%. At the temporal scale, the dates of the onset of thawing and complete thawing advanced by 3.10 (±1.4) and 2.46 (±1.4) days, respectively; and the dates of the onset of freezing and complete freezing were delayed by 0.9 (±1.4) and 1.6 (±1.1) days, respectively. The duration of thawing increased by 0.72 (±0.21) day/a and the duration of freezing decreased by 0.52 (±0.26) day/a. In conclusion, increases in the annual minimum temperature and winter air temperature are the main factors for the advanced thawing and delayed freezing and for the increase in the duration of thawing and the decrease in the duration of freezing in the SRYR.
The near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle is related to the fluctuations in soil temperature around 0° C due to seasonal or diurnal temperature changes. Such fluctuations are common at high latitudes or within high-altitude zones. Approximately 50× 106 km2, or 55% of the land surface soil in the Northern Hemisphere, undergoes an annual soil freeze-thaw cycle (Zhang et al., 2009). The mechanism of the soil freeze-thaw cycle involves alternating water-ice phase transitions in soil; this phase transitions act as “ switch” in nature. That is, when soil is thawed, the “ switch” opens, and hydrological, ecological and other land surface processes become active; when soil freezes, the “ switch” closes, and the land surface processes enter a period of dormancy or slow activity (Zhang et al., 2011; Yi et al., 2014). Changes in the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle strongly affect the climate system, the hydrological cycle, the carbon and nitrogen cycles, surface energy fluxes, plant growth, soil erosion, and other land surface processes (Poutou et al., 2004; Wang et al., 2006; Henry et al., 2008; Matzner and Borken, 2008; Sun et al., 2008; Nishimura et al., 2011; Buermann et al., 2013; Wang et al., 2015).
Previous research on the monitoring of near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycles has mainly been carried out using data measured at individual sites (Yang et al., 2007; Li et al., 2012; Guo and Wang, 2014). However, this traditional method is time consuming and cannot meet the requirements of large-scale and dynamic monitoring because the measurement sites are often sparse and unrepresentative. Satellite-based remote sensing provides an efficient mean to detect near-surface soil freeze-thaw status over long periods of time at global, continental, and regional scales (Zhang et al., 2003; Bartsch et al., 2007). Especially, passive microwave remote sensing, which has a high temporal resolution and all-weather capabilities, is suitable for this task (Zhang et al., 2011; Zhao et al., 2011; Li et al., 2012; Singh et al., 2013). The main sources of passive microwave remote sensing data include the Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR, 1978-1987), the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SMM/I, 1987-present) and the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E, 2002-2011). Compared with SMMR and SMM/I, AMSR-E is newer and more efficient ifor detecting soil freeze-thaw status, although relatively few studies have used the data collected by this sensor.
Researchers have developed several methods to monitor near-surface soil freeze-thaw status in the application of passive microwave remote sensing data, i.e., the dual-indices algorithm, change detection algorithm (Smith et al., 2004), decision tree algorithm and discriminant function algorithm (Zhang et al., 2003; Li et al., 2012). It is worthy noting that the dual-indices algorithm has been widely applied to study the freeze-thaw patterns (Han et al., 2010; Xie et al., 2013). This algorithm uses a 37-GHz brightness temperature and a negative spectral gradient between the 18 and 37 GHz brightness temperatures to detect soil freeze-thaw status (Zuerndorfer and England, 1992; Judge et al., 1997). Moreover, the thresholds of the dual-indices algorithm must be separately determined for each region using data collected from different sites and verified through the statistical analysis (Chai et al., 2014).
The source region of the Yellow River (SRYR), which lies in the interior of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) and is known as a “ sensitive area” and an “ amplifier” for global warming, has become warmer at a fast rate than other places on the plateau (Lan et al., 2016). Many lines of evidence indicate that climate warming has resulted in a serious degradation of frozen ground in recent years over the SRYR, leading to reduction in permafrost area (Wang et al., 2001; Jin et al., 2009; Matsuoka et al., 2009; Luo et al., 2016). However, the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle over the SRYR has not been systematically investigated. Therefore, we investigated the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle in the SRYR during the period 2002-2011 based on the AMSR-E passive microwave remote sensing data. The aims of this study were (1) to obtain the thresholds of the dual-indices algorithm for soil freeze-thaw state detection in the SRYR; (2) to investigate the spatial distribution patterns of the near-surface soil freeze-thaw state; and (3) to analyze the variations in the onset dates and durations of the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle during the period 2002-2011.
The SRYR catchment area, situated in the upper stream of the Longyangxia Reservoir, covers approximately 145.3× 103 km2 in area. Geographically, it is located between 32° 10′ -36° 59′ N and 95° 54′ -103° 24′ E, and the average elevation is greater than 4000 m (Fig. 1). The study area is characterized by a typical continental plateau climate, with an annual average air temperature of -3.0° C to -4.1° C and an average annual precipitation of 300-700 mm. Three landform types exist in the SRYR: mountains, hills, and plains. Large areas in the eastern and central SRYR are covered with seasonally frozen soil interspersed with isolated patches of sporadically continuous permafrost. The permafrost occurs primarily on high mountains in the western part of the region (Wen et al., 2011).
We divided the study area into five regions according to the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau natural zonation scheme (Zheng et al., 1979) for analyzing the spatial characteristics of the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle. These regions are the wide valley basin of the Yellow River source region (I), the Zoige plateau (II), the Golog and Yushu plateau gullies (III), the Huangnan Mountains (IV), and the eastern margin of the Qaidam Mountains (V) (Fig. 2).
We obtained the daily AMSR-E passive microwave remote sensing data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) at the University of Colorado, USA. These data are provided in the Equal-Area Scalable Earth Grid projection (EASE-Grid) and have a spatial resolution of 25 km for all channels. The data are available twice daily from an ascending track (the satellite passed over the study region at 13:30 local time) and a descending track (the satellite passed over the study region at 01:30 local time) for 10 consecutive years from 19 June, 2002 to 3 October, 2011. The radiometer channel frequencies are 6.9, 10.7, 18.7, 23.8, 36.5 and 89.0 GHz, respectively, and each frequency is associated with dual vertically and horizontally polarized radiation measurements. In this study, the dual-indices algorithm was applied to the 18.5 and 36.5 GHz vertically polarized brightness temperature data (TB_18.5V and TB_36.5V) from both the ascending and descending tracks.
Some of the AMSR-E data were missing because of the unstable states of the radiometer and atmospheric conditions. The missing data included the 211st-217th days and the 256th-262nd days in 2002, the 304th-308th days in 2003, the 324th day in 2004 and the 332nd day in 2007. The daily AMSR-E data did not cover the entire study area at the middle and low latitudes; therefore, we had to splice the data from two adjacent days into one to cover the entire SRYR.
In this study, a land surface temperature (LST) dataset that consisted of data from eleven meteorological stations in the SRYR obtained from the Chinese Meteorological Science Data-sharing Service (Fig. 1) was used to calibrate and validate the thresholds of the dual-indices algorithm. The LST dataset included the daily average land surface temperature (LSTave), the maximum land surface temperature (LSTmax) and the minimum land surface temperature (LSTmin) for the period 2002-2011. In addition to the LSTdata, the monthly average air temperature, the maximum air temperature, and the minimum air temperature were also collected for the period 2002-2011. Meteorological data from five meteorological stations, i.e., Qabqa, Guinan, Golog, Zoige and Madoi stations, were used to calibrate the dual-indices algorithm, and data from other stations (Xinghai, Henan, Maqu, Hongyuan, Jigzhi and Darlag stations) were used to validate the algorithm.
In this study, the Advanced Spaceborne Theemal Emission and Reflection Radiometer Global Digital Elevation Model (ASTER GDEM), which has a spatial resolution of 30 m, was obtained from the Geospatial Data Cloud. A land cover map for 2009, which has a spatial resolution of 300 m and uses the UN Food and Agriculture Organization’ s land cover classification scheme, was obtained from the Cold and Arid Regions Sciences Data Center at Lanzhou (http://westdc.westgis.ac.cn). The above datasets were pre-processed using a system radiation correction and ground control point correction.
Profile lines can be used to analyze the spatial distribution of onset dates and durations of freeze-thaw cycles at regional scales (Bartsch et al., 2007). We created an east-west profile line at 34.5° N that crossed areas I, II, and III and a north-south profile line at 99.8° E that crossed areas IV and III. These lines intersected at the center of the SRYR and passed through areas with typical and varied landscapes based on the land use and natural zonation in the SRYR (Fig. 2).
We used the trend line method to analyze the changes in onset date and duration of the freeze-thaw cycles estimated using map algebra in ArcGIS. The computational formula is as follows:
${{\theta }_{slope}}=\frac{n\times \sum\limits_{j=1}^{n}{(j\times {{x}_{j}})-(\sum\limits_{j=1}^{n}{j)(\sum\limits_{j=1}^{n}{{{x}_{j}})}}}}{n\times (\sum\limits_{j=1}^{n}{{{j}^{2}})-(\sum\limits_{j=1}^{n}{j{{)}^{2}}}}}, $ (1)
where n is the number of years in the monitoring period (n=10 in this study); xj, the quantity being studied in year j (onset dates or duration of the freeze-thaw cycle); and θ , the slope of the trend line (when θ > 0, the quantity being studied increases over the n years, and vice versa).
After the trend maps were created, the mean values were computed for each pixel, and the standard deviations were calculated as the average deviation of each pixel from the mean value. These calculations were implemented using the Spatial Analyst Toolbox in ArcGIS.
The dual-indices algorithm uses the 36.5 GHz vertical-polarization brightness temperature (TB_36.5V), the spectral gradient (SG) between the 36.5 GHz (TB_36.5V) and 18.5 GHz (TB_18.5V) brightness temperatures and data from AMSR-E. This algorithm can be expressed as:
${{T}_{B\_36.5V}}< {{T}_{cutoff}}, $ (2)
$SG=\frac{{{T}_{B\_36.5V}}-{{T}_{B\_18.5V}}}{36.5-18.5}< 0, $ (3)
where Tcutoff is the threshold determined from the linear regressions between LST and TB_36.5V for determining the near-surface soil freeze-thaw status.
LSTs tend to be close to the maximum values at the ascending local time (13:30) for AMSR-E and approach to the minimum values at the descending local time (01:30) (Xie et al., 2013; Chai et al., 2014). Therefore, we used LSTmax and LSTmin to calibrate and verify the classification algorithm for the ascending and descending tracks, respectively. Two linear regressions between the LSTs and TB_36.5V were established for the period from 1 January, 2007 to 31 December, 2009 (Fig. 3), and robust correlations (R2=0.772 and R2=0.767, respectively) were identified between these quantities and the standard deviations were 3.87 and 3.32 K, respectively. According to the regression lines, the thresholds of the dual-indices algorithm were 257.59 K during the day and 261.28 K at night, which corresponded to the real soil freezing point (273.15 K). A pixel of the AMSR-E data was assigned to the thawed status during the day if the ascending TB_36.5V and SGexceeded 257.59 and 0 K, respectively; otherwise, the pixel was assumed to be frozen. A pixel was classified into the frozen status at night if the descending TB_36.5V and SG were less than 261.28 and 0 K, respectively; otherwise, the pixel was assumed to be thawed. Additionally, large bodies of water (lakes and rivers), areas of permanent snow and ice and deserts influence brightness temperatures and could be mistakenly classified. Therefore, areas up to 50 km with those land cover types (e.g., lake, river, snow, ice, and desert) were masked out in this study.
The following variables were used to evaluate the accuracy of the algorithm: (a) F√ represents the number of correctly classified daily total frozen pixels; (b) Fa, the actual number of daily total frozen pixels; (c) T√, the number of correctly classified daily total thawed pixels; (d) Ta, the actual number of daily total thawed pixels; (e) FTC√, the number of correctly classified daily freeze-thaw cycle pixels; and (f) FTCa, the actual total number of daily freeze-thaw cycle pixels.
The calculation method for the evaluation variables was as follows: (1) F√/Fa ratio can be used for detecting the classification accuracy of the daily total frozen surface; (2) T√/Ta ratio, the classification accuracy of the daily total thawed surface; (3) FTC√/FTCa ratio, the classification accuracy of the daily freeze-thaw cycle surface; and (4) (F√+T√+FTC√)/(Fa+Ta+FTCa) ratio, the overall classification accuracy.
We verified the algorithm with LSTmax and LSTmin measurements from six meteorological stations (Xinghai, Henan, Maqu, Hongyuan, Jigzhi and Darlag) during the period 2007-2009. Additionally, the same thresholds were used in the calibration algorithm. Based on 13, 152 validated data points, the classification accuracies of the daily total frozen surface, the daily total thawed surface, and the daily freeze-thaw cycle surface were 80.46%, 83.65%, and 78.07%, respectively, and the overall classification accuracy was 80.55%. These results indicate that the dual-indices algorithm can be used to detect the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle in the SRYR with sufficient accuracy.
Based on the aforementioned dual-indices algorithm and thresholds, we detected the daily near-surface freeze-thaw status derived from the AMSR-E data during the day and at night and then classified the status into three types. These types corresponded to the daily frozen surface (DFS) where the land surface was classified into the frozen status during both day and night; the daily thawed surface (DTS) where the land surface was classified into the thawed status during both day and night; and the daily surface freeze-thaw cycle (DFTS) where the land surface was classified into thawed during the day and frozen at night. Based on the time series information of the daily near-surface freeze-thaw status, four soil freeze-thaw stages in a year were defined: a spring freeze-thaw transition stage, a complete thawing stage, an autumn freeze-thaw transition stage and a complete freezing stage. If the surface belonged to one of three daily freeze-thaw statuses for three successive days, the periods of the surface status were determined as one of the four stages, and the first day of these three days was recorded as the onset date of the next freeze-thaw stage.
Figure 4 shows the monthly variations in near-surface soil freeze-thaw status from September 2010 to August 2011. As the temperature decreased after September, a DFS occurred near Ngroing Lake and Gyaring Lake in area I, while a DFTS occurred near Maduo County and Requ River. The DFS and DFTS subsequently expanded, moved southeastward, and gradually occupied area III. In January, which is the coldest month of the year, the DFS and DFTS were bounded by the A’ nyê maqê n Mountains, whereas the DFTS and DTS were bounded by the Xiqing Mountains. At that time, area I, which lies to the west of the SRYR, displayed a DFS status; areas III, IV and V, which lie in the middle of the SRYR, displayed a DFTS status; and area II, which lies to the southeast of the SRYR, displayed a DTS status. As the air temperature gradually increased, the western boundary of the DFS, the eastern boundary of the DTS, and the eastern and western boundaries of the DFTS moved westward. Later in March, the DFS disappeared, and a DFTS replaced the DFS in area I to the west of the A’ nyê maqê n Mountains. The DTS gradually increased and then occupied the entire SRYR in July and August. Therefore, the SRYR, except for the area with DTS throughout the year, underwent freeze-thaw cycles over long periods of time.
![]() | Fig. 4 Monthly variations in near-surface soil freeze-thaw status from September 2010 to August 2011 in the SRYR |
The areas occupied by the three freeze-thaw statuses showed different trends from 2003 to 2010 (Fig. 5). The DFS gradually decreased from January to June and began to increase in September. Additionally, the peak of the curve for the month with the largest DFS moved backward from 2003 to 2010 (Fig. 5a), and the average DFS decreased by approximately 0.08%. In spring and autumn, the surface temperature dropped below zero at night, whereas the surface temperature exceeded zero during the day, resulting in freezing at night and thawing during the day. Being similar with the DFS, the DFTS occurred in autumn or winter, although its peak occurred during the early spring (Fig. 5b); and the surface gradually decreased and completely disappeared in summer. The DTS increased from January to July or August and then gradually decreased (Fig. 5c).
We analyzed the spatial distribution and inter-annual variation of the onset date of the four stages and the duration of the freeze-thaw cycles using the east-west profile line at 34.5° N (Fig. 6) and the north-south profile line at 99.8° E (Fig. 7). For the east-west profile line at 34.5° N, the dates of the onset of thawing (10-65th days) (Fig. 6a) and complete thawing (28-115th days) (Fig. 6b) moved forward from east to west as the elevation decreased, and the dates of the onset of freezing (260-320th days) (Fig. 6c) and complete freezing (310-360th days) (Fig. 6d) moved backward. The duration of the spring and autumn freeze-thaw transitions, which were determined by the onset of thawing/freezing and the onset of complete thawing/freezing, decreased from east to west. The duration was shorter in area II (spring: 45 days; autumn: 28 days) than in area III (spring: 52 days; autumn: 31 days); moreover, this duration was shorter than in area I (spring: 57 days; autumn: 35 days). The dates of the onset of thawing and complete thawing tended to occur earlier over the study period (2002-2011), and the dates of the onset of freezing and complete freezing tended to occur later over the study period. It should be noted that part of area II did not completely freeze in winter after 2006.
For the north-south profile line at 99.8° E, the dates of the onset of thawing (10th-55th days) (Fig. 7a) and complete thawing (71st-104th days) (Fig. 7b) moved forward first and then backward from north to south. Similarly, the dates of the onset of freezing (280th-318th days) (Fig. 7c) and complete freezing (310th-345th days) (Fig. 7d) moved backward first and then forward. Turning point is at the transition zone between areas IV and III in the rolling mountain region of A’ nyê maqê n. The durations of the spring and autumn freeze-thaw transitions, which were disrupted by the elevated mountains, first increased and then decreased along this line from north to south. In area IV in the northern SRYR, the spring duration (approximately 52 days) and autumn duration (approximately 38 days) of freeze-thaw transitions increased from north to south, whereas an opposite trend was observed in area III. Similar to the east-west profile, the date of the onset of the freeze-thaw cycles along the north-south line showed a trend toward earlier thawing and later freezing from 2002 to 2011 against the background of climate warming in the SRYR.
Figure 8 shows the spatial distribution of the onset date and duration of the freeze-thaw cycles. The dates of onset of thawing advanced or moved forward by 3.1 (± 1.4) days over the SRYR (Fig. 8a), and most of these advanced days appeared in area IV, followed by area III.The complete thawing date (Fig. 8c) was advanced by 2.46 (± 1.4) days and most of these advanced days appeared in area II, with a decreasing tendency in the number of advanced days from southeast to northwest. The dates of onset of freezing (Fig. 8e) and complete freezing (Fig. 8 g) were delayed by 0.9 (± 1.4) and 1.6 (± 1.1) days, respectively. Most of these delayed days appeared in parts of areas II and IV in the eastern SRYR, whereas no significant changes occurred in area I.
The duration of the spring freeze-thaw transition (Fig. 8b) in the middle of the SRYR increased by 2.1 (± 0.91) days, whereas that in western Ngoring Lake, Zoige Wetland and the northernmost SRYR the duration decreased by 1.21 (± 0.56) days. Similarly, the duration of the autumn freeze-thaw transition (Fig. 8f) in the central region increased by 1.1 (± 0.42) days, and the transition decreased by 1.21 (± 0.56) days in the other parts. Overall, the duration of complete thawing (Fig. 8d) increased by 0.72 (± 0.21) days/a with the maximum increase occurred in area IV and the minimum increase in western Ngoring Lake and northernmost area. Overall, the duration of complete freezing (Fig. 8h) decreased at a rate of 0.52 (± 0.26) days/a with the greatest decrease occurred in the northeastern SRYR at lower altitudes and the smallest increase in the southwest SRYR at higher altitude. The above results suggest that the changes in the freeze-thaw cycles were most severe in areas III and IV in the northeastern and southeastern parts of the SRYR in relatively low-lying regions.
Many researchers have found that an increase in air temperature, especially in the cold season, results in the shortening of the freeze duration and the lengthening of the thawing duration (Li et al., 2012b; Guo and Wang, 2014; Wang et al., 2015). In this study, the annual average air temperature (ATave) of the SRYR during the period 2002-2011 increased at a rate of 0.023° C/a (Fig. 9). Moreover, the increase rate of the annual minimum air temperature (ATmin, 0.066° C/a) was higher than that of the annual maximum air temperature (ATmax, 0.042° C/a), and the increase rate of average air temperature in winter (ATwinter, 0.072° C/a) was higher than that of other seasons, suggesting that there was an asymmetric increase in air temperature in different times and seasons (Zhao et al., 2004; Liu et al., 2006). That is to say, the increase in air temperature was higher in cold seasons and at night than in warm seasons and during the day, respectively. As shown in Table 1, ATmin was significantly correlated with the durations of complete thawing and complete freezing, and ATwinterwas significantly negatively correlated with the durations of the spring freeze-thaw transition and complete freezing. These results confirm that the increases in ATmin and ATwinterresulted in the advanced thawing and delayed freezing, and the increase in the thawing duration and the decrease in the freezing duration.
With respect to variations in the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycles from other parts of the world, similar results have been found in Mongolia (Han et al., 2010), central USA (Anandhi et al., 2013) and China (Wang et al., 2015). However, results from this study indicate that the onsets of thawing during the period 2002-2011 in the SRYR advanced by approximately 0.34 day/a, whereas it advanced by 0.15 day/a in all of China (Wang et al., 2015) and 0.10 day/a in Kansas, USA (Anandhi et al., 2013). Similarly, the duration of freezing exhibited a larger variation in the SRYR (approximately 0.52 day/a) than in all of China (approximately 0.25 day/a) (Wang et al., 2015) and in Kansas, USA (0.13 day/a) (Anandhi et al., 2013), but less than that in Mongolia (1.40 day/a) (Han et al., 2010). The differences among these results should not be ignored and may be attributable to two major reasons. First, as previously stated, increases in air temperatures, particularly the ATmin and ATwinter, significantly affect variations in near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycles. It is clear that the changing rates of air temperature differ among study areas. For example, the increase rate of air temperature was faster in the SRYR than in all of China (Lan et al., 2016) and also in central USA (Brunsell et al., 2010) and slightly slower than in Mongolia (Han et al., 2010). Second, the use of different detection methods for the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle may lead to different results. Han et al. (2010) and Li et al. (2012) used soil temperature measured at 06:00 to represent the onset or offset of the soil freezing events and temperature measured at 18:00 to represent the onset or offset of the soil thawing events based on the SMM/I data. However, this may have ignored some soil freezing or thawing events because the soil at the measuring times was unlikely to have reached the minimum and maximum temperatures. AMSR-E for this study passed over the study regions at 01:30 and 13:30 when the soil temperatures tend to be close to the maximum and minimum values (Xie et al., 2013; Chai et al., 2014). It means that it can capture real daily soil freezing and thawing events. Additionally, the results from Anandhi et al. (2013) and Wang et al. (2015) were based on data measured at individual sites with large uncertainties and unrepresentativeness at a regional scale because of their sparse and unevenly distribution compared with the satellite remote sensing data. Moreover, extensive human activities may also have played a role in the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle. Wang et al. (2015) reported that the observed decrease in the duration of freezing in areas with high rates of urban expansion was approximately higher by 42% to 52% than those of areas having low and medium rates of urban expansion, being consistent with our results.
![]() | Table 1 Correlation coefficients of the duration of stages of soil freeze-thaw cycles and air temperature for the SRYR |
The variations in near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycles could significantly impact the ecosystems of the SRYR. The earlier thawing and the increase in duration of thawing may result in the earlier onset and lengthening of vegetation growing seasons (McDonald et al., 2004; Delbart et al., 2008; Richardson et al., 2013). However, the increase in duration of thawing, together with climate warming, has a negative impact on ecosystems within water-limited regions through increasing water stress (Seneviratne et al., 2010; Zhang et al., 2011). Moreover, changes in soil freeze-thaw cycles would intensify the water and energy cycles through soil ice-water phase changes and increase in the exchange of heat between the atmosphere and the ground surface. Such variations tend to generate drier land surfaces because both water infiltration and evapotranspiration increase under these conditions in the SRYR (Jin et al., 2009; Li et al., 2012). A lower groundwater table and a decrease in the areas of lakes and wetlands have also occurred on the plateau, which has further accelerated the degradation of alpine grassland and desertification. Additionally, it has been predicted that the temperature of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau could increase by 2.2-2.6° C by 2050, with an annual increase rate of 0.044-0.052° C/a (Qin et al, 2002). Under the highest warming rate of 0.052° C/a, the permafrost area would decrease by 13.5% (Nan et al., 2005), and the mean active layer thickness would increase by 0.3-0.8 m compared with that in 2010 (Zhang and Wu, 2012). At the same time, the near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycle would severely change in the future under those climate scenarios.
In this study, we applied a dual-indices algorithm in the SRYR based on measured LSTs and vertically polarized 18.7 and 36.5 GHz AMSR-E brightness temperature data obtained through passive microwave remote sensing. The daytime and nighttime brightness temperature thresholds of 257.59 and 261.28 K used in the algorithm were confirmed for distinguishing the near-surface freeze-thaw status. Additionally, we divided the inferred status into three types (DFS, DTS and DFTS) and separated the annual freeze-thaw cycle into four stages. Most of the SRYR experienced freeze-thaw cycles of long duration. In the coldest month, the DFS occurred primarily in area I, DFTS occurred in areas III and IV, and DTS appeared in area II. The areas occupied by DFS and DFTS during the period 2002-2011 decreased by 0.08% and 0.25%, respectively, and the DTS area increased by 0.36%. According to the east-west profile line at 34.5° N and north-south profile line at 99.8° E, the onset of thawing advanced, the onset of freezing became delayed, and incomplete freezing occurred on the Zoige plateau in the southeastern part of the SRYR. During the period 2002-2011, the dates of the onset of thawing and complete thawing advanced by 3.1 (± 1.4) and 2.46 (± 1.4) days, respectively; the dates of the onset of freezing and complete freezing delayed by 0.9 (± 1.4) and 1.6 (± 1.1) days, respectively. The duration of complete thawing increased by 0.72 (± 0.21) day/a and the duration of complete freezing decreased by 0.52 (± 0.26) day/a. Most severe changes occurred in areas III and IV. The durations of the spring and autumn freeze-thaw transitions increased over most of the central region, whereas the durations decreased in other regions.
The results of this study demonstrated that the increases in ATmin and ATwinterwere the primary drivers for earlier thawing and later freezing and also for an increase in the duration of thawing and a decrease in the duration of freezing. Given the fragile and sensitive ecosystems that occur across the SRYR, these variations in the near-surface freeze-thaw cycle affect the water and energy cycles in the soil and cause further acceleration of the degradation of grasslands.
This study was supported by the National Science and Technology Support Plan of China (2015BAD07B02). We sincerely thank the anonymous reviewers and editors for their valuable comments.
The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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